Friday, October 19, 2018

Just How Strong Is President Trump's Support?

           How strong is the support for President Trump? Rasmussen has a 51% job approval right now. Some of the other major pollsters have that figure in the low 40s. I just don't know enough about the accuracy of these surveys.....and I don't think that anyone really does....but I think that you can glean some information on the ongoing cumulative figures for the combined polling. This figure as realclearpolitics.com updates everyday seems to go up a few points when there is good news for President Trump and conversely down a few points when the news is bad....and this makes perfect sense. I would think that today's news would initiate some lower figures as President Trump called yet another woman by a very derogatory name....but the stock market went up 547 points....so we'll see.
           The rallies don't tell us as much as one might expect as the locations are carefully chosen and any of these areas surely can generate thousands of hardcore supporters. Likewise for conservative talk radio as all of the hosts who direct their shows are firmly in the corner of the President. This is by far President Trump’s chief source of support but since there is no critical opinion as part of the format it really can’t be used to determine the strength or stability of that support.
           Before I retired....working in an environment of hundreds of people....it was easy to gauge the political opinions at least of the working man. This was one reason that I firmly believed that Donald Trump would win the election. I don't have that input today. The input that I do have....which is mostly from other Christians.....is not favorable at all to President Trump. They....like me....don't regret their vote for Donald Trump in the general election one bit....and they also....as I....would probably vote for Trump in 2020 for the same reasons.....but there is a big difference....the unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump is much greater.
            Confusing the situation even more is that President Trump's base has changed somewhat. Support from the serious 'wall' people....and the 'repeal Obamacare' people....and those who knew very well the pending disaster from this monstrous national debt....must surely be down and certainly lukewarm at best....but this falloff has been made up by independents who could care less about Donald Trump's character....and really like the economic figures. So the social conservative support would be down...possibly way down....but the MAGA support is still as strong as it has always been.....probably much stronger....and certainly more forceful and in your face than it has ever been. Whatever these percentages might be....truth has taken a severe beating while pragmatic power politics has taken center stage.
            The difficulty figuring out this whole thing does not stop here because the coming midterm election is a major influence at least in appearances of support for President Trump. We may not like Donald Trump at all but we just cannot lose the House or the Senate....so the President in effect gets a pass on who he has turned out to be. If this were the midterms of his second term.....this is my opinion of course....a lot of people who volunteer little criticism today because of the electoral situation would be looking forward with great enthusiasm to Donald Trump's leaving office and going away.
           There is one last part of this base and it is the most volatile of all....the evangelicals....more specifically Christians who still trust their Bibles more than Rush Limbaugh. If they finally say that they have had it with Donald Trump the man then there goes five to seven overall percentage points....and that would likely be enough to change the situation completely....for in my opinion.....and I've stated it before....President Trump would then abandon any pretense for the need to keep the Christian support....and turn wholly to his MAGA base.
           God is in control of all of this....as He is always.....of everything everywhere! Not one molecule in the universe would stay intact without His omnipotent power. He will either awaken these Christians.....or He will let us slumber. Either way it will be His perfect will.....and to His glory alone. If He should awaken us then a winnowing would most likely come to the visible church. This would have extreme prophetic implications....and President Trump....and the midterms....and so many other things that we consider of ultimate importance today....would pale as it would be obvious to all of us Christians that our Lord....our Savior....and our King....is about to make Himself known to all the kings of this world....and all the people ruled by them.