I posted this sentence in a 2008 post....

"Israel has a decision to make, and soon. Are they going to let Iran produce nuclear weapons?"

I posted this in 2009....

"Earlier in the year, Israel made it known that it would wait until December to see if the United States could produce results on Iran giving up its nuclear weapon program. Negotiations with Iran initially produced quasi-agreements on sending 70% of its enriched uranium to Russia. Iran is dragging its feet on this.

The following is from a February 12, 2010 post....

"....the headlines the next morning on the web were all similar, Iran Is Now A Nuclear Nation! What Iran....had done is formally announce that they had indeed achieved the breakout capability that Scientists describe as the moment when a nation proves it can enrich uranium to weapons grade. This is what Ahmadinejad had announced. They had produced their first product of 20% enriched uranium.....our intelligence agencies, officially, have stated that the earliest Iran could produce a bomb would be around 2013 while various independent scientists have said that they have the capability right now....Iran has the capability to go from 3.5% to 20% enrichment through the centrifuge process. This is the breakout. Advancing to 80% or 90% enrichment is simply a matter of time and this is not a long process. The reliability of Iran's centrifuges is the only hindrance in their producing enough enriched uranium for one bomb now and many others in short order. This is assuming that Iran does not have secret facilities, and that is in no way out of the question. What we have known all along is that Iran has a problem with quantity of uranium to be enriched. Before you relax, the problem is that they do not have enough uranium for uses in nuclear power plants, but they do have enough for producing quite a number of bombs. I have stated many times in this blog that Iran's missile technology is not the most pressing issue with a nuclear weapon, rather who might they give a device to when built, if not already built?"

Folks....these three posts were 17 and 16 and 15 years ago! Our intelligence agencies use what they call....'indicators'....to draw conclusions on how far along Iran is with its nuclear program. In other words it is no more than an educated guess! And if that were not bad enough....Trump has been purging experienced intelligence personnel and scientists....and replacing them with people who are heavy on loyalty but light on experience and knowledge! There were scientists who believed....
15 years ago....that Iran could produce a bomb right then! If Iran all of a sudden says that it is ready for a deal....it could very well be that they have their bomb or bombs....enough of them anyway.